Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.699092 5.071373 5.474049 5.944636 6.482952 7.083747 7.810991
2025-07-27 4.194076 4.719478 5.328337 6.097106 7.058490 8.244997 9.860756
2025-08-03 3.824398 4.420190 5.142515 6.104276 7.387117 9.097785 11.666630
2025-08-10 3.504964 4.126997 4.905551 5.983078 7.492276 9.632388 13.122979
2025-08-17 3.233962 3.861076 4.665091 5.811643 7.481198 9.972156 14.338452
2025-08-24 3.039386 3.673483 4.504066 5.721164 7.558893 10.438480 15.867906
2025-08-31 2.925840 3.581096 4.458715 5.782313 7.861111 11.302887 18.378529
2025-09-07 2.812745 3.479361 4.389219 5.796026 8.083941 12.068255 20.976867
2025-09-14 2.646811 3.294156 4.187437 5.588964 7.916384 12.097391 21.965171
2025-09-21 2.521019 3.157561 4.046031 5.461678 7.865635 12.333242 23.544989
2025-09-28 2.423831 3.055666 3.948025 5.392925 7.905268 12.749249 25.780020
2025-10-05 2.353555 2.988064 3.895773 5.391795 8.062800 13.434957 29.152198
2025-10-12 2.312572 2.963019 3.909259 5.505806 8.460138 14.763506 35.675399
2025-10-19 2.275240 2.941498 3.926944 5.629316 8.897657 16.326170 44.883357
2025-10-26 2.213739 2.880714 3.879243 5.634613 9.099926 17.376865 53.491426
2025-11-02 2.132502 2.786549 3.773333 5.527732 9.054963 17.766091 59.424911
2025-11-09 2.047488 2.683288 3.647803 5.376401 8.897613 17.809023 63.550855
2025-11-16 1.982933 2.608653 3.564715 5.296408 8.886197 18.278275 71.660927
2025-11-23 1.949695 2.580402 3.555064 5.350479 9.179166 19.765979 92.281398
2025-11-30 1.910278 2.540870 3.524592 5.362599 9.378189 21.039184 117.338447
2025-12-07 1.836120 2.444808 3.396263 5.179369 9.095379 20.590141 119.822866
2025-12-14 1.778910 2.373598 3.306872 5.066497 8.971544 20.686567 131.798992
2025-12-21 1.734379 2.320818 3.246179 5.005455 8.966815 21.222190 155.437156